What is the difference between a money-back guarantee and a profit guarantee?
by
Zsoltfbo
April 19, 2025
in
Professional articles
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/VZGpZXyb0Kw
I fully understand the bettors who sneer at a "sure bet" advertisement that comes their way on Facebook, as their criticism is justified. I don't think there is a single person in the country who is not sceptical when someone talks about profitable sports betting. As we have seen in previous in my article you have read, I agree wholeheartedly and I encourage everyone to keep a fair distance from any tipster site that is trying to sell you a service. But what is a very big problem and a huge criticism I have of tipster sites is that they try to counteract the legitimate mistrust that people feel with a promise that is a guarantee. Let us say it once and for all: PROFIT GUARANTEE IS NOT A GUARANTEE!
Why do I think that the profit guarantee is a scam and why do I have maximum contempt for sites that advertise themselves in this way?
The word 'guarantee' is both a responsibility and an obligation. It means that the service provider takes responsibility for the product, but at the same time undertakes to refund/replace/repair it in the event of a legitimate claim. Of course, the Hungarian language is beautiful, there are a hundred ways to explain something, but I think the Hungarian dictionary is the definitive one, anything else is just a waste of words. What do you think will be fulfilled by the profit guarantee from what you have just read? - Nothing(!!!) The tipster sites say that their tips are profitable, feel free to join with a profit guarantee. In reality, this simply means that after your subscription, if they make a loss, they will "generously" extend your subscription until the tipster group makes a profit. So there is no question of them refunding your payment, or even accepting that their service is not good. But they do make the "generous" - tricky - gesture of leaving me in their already loss-making tipster group, they don't dump you. Thus, none of the conditions of the word guarantee are fulfilled, as there is no assumption of responsibility and no commitment.
1) What is the guarantee that you will always be in profit?
If you put your trust in a provider and start following their tipster group promising profits, but after 30 days (assuming you bought a one-month membership) they make a big loss and you lose, say, your 40% funds, how viable is it that you will recover the money you lost during your extended membership? To me, that's my biggest problem with the "institution" of the profit guarantee. What right does the tipster site have - without a track record - to expect you to continue to vote them confidence and follow tips that otherwise made a big buck for 30 days? This is completely against logic. Of course, if they didn't make a huge loss, then I say fine, the customer sees that they have made a few bets at a loss, their initial capital is somewhat depleted, but they see the awareness, the value, then no problem, if they extend their subscription, fair enough. It's just that it's not sufficiently clear. Anyone who has moved in the world of professional sports betting knows how much a full-time tipster who is really profitable can make a loss, which is still acceptable, because fluctuations are natural in professional sports betting. One month you earn a +15 bet profit and the next month say a -3 bet loss, there is nothing wrong with that, it is just a natural part of it. But when the bettor you are following makes a -15 or -30 bet loss, that is very unnatural. It is certainly the tipster's fault, he couldn't handle the negative streak, he raised bets unnecessarily or made unjustified bets to recover his accumulated losses. And please have no illusions, in this case you are not losing money because professional sports betting is like this, but because the betting site has put your money at unnecessary risk. It makes a big difference!
2) What statistics are used when talking about profit at the end of the month?
Again, this is a question that we either answer with common sense, or we believe the narratives of the tipster sites unconditionally and approach it with a very naive attitude. I will definitely go with the first category. So you are given a tipster group that sends you, say, 100 tips in the month you subscribe. According to their stats, they are making a huge profit, and according to your own results and stats, they are losing for the month. How can that happen and who is right?You have to look at it from the way the tipster site sends out the tips. Either the site is automated, which means that the tips it sends (which you receive) are obtained from resellers, or it is "robotically" sent via e-mail and other connections. The big problem with this is that the sending of tips is slow and by the time you receive the tip, it is no longer possible to bet on the values sent (odds, bet type, etc.). So the automation of tips is absolutely not reliable and serves only one purpose: To make it as cheap as possible for the tipster site to obtain the tips, which are then distributed like a mass product to their customers at a profit of many hundreds of times the value. The other model - which we also follow, and unfortunately I see that not many other people do - is to send out the tips with a screenshot, so that a live human being and not a 'robot' does the work. This only has the advantage that the sending of the tip is actually instantaneous, what we send out as a betting picture can also be received by the customer with the same values - provided they respond within a reasonable time.
Unfortunately, the 95% of tipster sites cannot "stand" not to consider their customers as figures and do everything they can to keep their "service" running on forints. and maximise their profits, so that sooner or later they automate the tips. Now that's what I call the death of a tipster site, one of the biggest - if not the biggest - sins that can be committed against customers, in my opinion... But to return: so if you follow a tipster site that claims to be in profit and you followed the notifications quickly but you are still in loss, then it is almost 100% (there is no other possibility) that the tips posted were either not acceptable or not as they were sent to you, in text. And if the profit guarantee means whether or not the tipster site's books show a loss for that month, then I have some very bad news: Either they will never have a loss-making month - in theory, that is - or their loss-making month will show a much lower deficit than they actually achieve. And no matter how much you complain and no matter how much common sense tells you you're right, they'll shake you down and explain it to you anyway. This amounts to a kind of denial of reality.
3) What if you make a profit after several months but have less capital than when you started?
Well, yes, it's an awkward situation again. If you, say, join a tipster site in January with a profit guarantee, and lose 30% of your capital in the first month, but decide to take advantage of the tipster site and renew your membership for free, what exactly happens? Let's take a closer look. If the tipster site made you lose 10 bets, you would have a loss of 30e Ft, so your capital (bankroll) at the end of the month would be 70e Ft. Obviously, you will not be able to bet the second month with 3e Ft bets, since you don't have that much capital anymore. So you will have to start the second month by recalculating your remaining 70e Ft, i.e. if we assume a stake of 3%, your stake will be changed to 2100 Ft. So in the second month you will take all your bets at 2100 Ft and not 3000 Ft. Let's be very optimistic and play with the idea: the tipster site will make up for the loss by making you say 10 bets profit in February. What will your capital look like then? BUT YOU WILL STILL BE 9 000 FT DOWN ON YOUR STARTING CAPITAL! If you do the maths, you can see: The sites do not guarantee that you will get an increase in your initial capital, only that their service will eventually turn a profit (theoretically!) But they will always calculate the tips with the same stake, nobody cares that you had to reduce your stake because your capital decreased.
SUMMARY
With these three points, I wanted to illustrate the difficulties of the profit guarantee. Please be sure to consider these arguments when you come across a site that tries to make you trust them with a profit guarantee. Unfortunately I couldn't find it, but there is a very good picture on the internet, maybe you've seen it: there is a masked figure on the left who seems to be holding out his hand and shaking hands with the person on the right, but while shaking hands with his right hand, he takes out his wallet with his left hand while he is not looking. Of course I don't mean to belittle this phenomenon, but I think I have sufficiently explained my arguments, after which a simpler example like this is perfectly acceptable.
I write these blog articles to help sports bettors even if they don't end up voting for us/me. These are truths that can be applied to any betting site and if you listen to me: should be applied!
Learn about FBO's money-back guarantee!
There is no profit guarantee, but there is an actual money-back guarantee. The way it works is that if you find our services worthy and you honour your trust and use any of our tipsters, you can save your starting capital in your control panel and set up the details of how you will bet.
Once you've done this and saved it in your profile, you have no choice but to accept the tips you've bought. And if you use the service for at least 2 cycles (months) and you make a loss, I will refund your entire payment without a word, I am legally bound to do so, there is no way out!
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